Two decades of Calgary home values — and how long the last peak actually took to recover.
Calgary's median residential assessed value peaked at $400,500 in July 2007. It touched that level again briefly in the middle of the next decade, then fell away, and did not sit durably above it until July 2022. Anyone who bought at the top of the boom waited roughly fifteen years to be reliably ahead on paper.
Everyone here grew up believing Calgary housing follows the oil price. For most of my career that was close enough to true. It is not true now, and the last three years are the clearest break I have seen: energy prices fell by a quarter in 2023 and values still went up ten per cent. The other thing people forget is how long the recovery from 2007 took — fifteen years, with a decade in the middle where nothing moved at all. Calgary does not correct and bounce. It corrects, then sits. Buyers waiting for the oil price to give them a signal have been reading the wrong number since about 2021.
— Crystal Tost, REALTOR®, Calgary real estate since 1997
Each figure is the median assessed value of Calgary residential dwelling parcels, dated to the market it represents rather than the roll it appeared on — see methodology for why those differ by a year.
| Market date | Median assessed value | Change | Dwelling parcels | Roll year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 2004 | $207,000 | — | 349,462 | 2005 |
| July 2005 | $221,500 | +7.0% | 364,552 | 2006 |
| July 2006 | $319,000 | +44.0% | 378,389 | 2007 |
| July 2007 | $400,500 | +25.5% | 394,427 | 2008 |
| July 2008 | $377,500 | -5.7% | 412,081 | 2009 |
| July 2009 | $327,000 | -13.4% | 418,828 | 2010 |
| July 2010 | $358,500 | +9.6% | 430,330 | 2011 |
| July 2011 | $345,000 | -3.8% | 430,263 | 2012 |
| July 2012 | $351,500 | +1.9% | 442,692 | 2013 |
| July 2013 | $373,000 | +6.1% | 452,241 | 2014 |
| July 2014 | $413,000 | +10.7% | 466,880 | 2015 |
| July 2015 | $405,000 | -1.9% | 483,238 | 2016 |
| July 2016 | $388,500 | -4.1% | 496,386 | 2017 |
| July 2017 | $396,000 | +1.9% | 508,787 | 2018 |
| July 2018 | $388,500 | -1.9% | 519,888 | 2019 |
| July 2019 | $369,000 | -5.0% | 533,185 | 2020 |
| July 2020 | $358,500 | -2.8% | 542,481 | 2021 |
| July 2021 | $396,000 | +10.5% | 525,985 | 2022 |
| July 2022 | $450,000 | +13.6% | 534,938 | 2023 |
| July 2023 | $495,500 | +10.1% | 548,975 | 2024 |
| July 2024 | $572,000 | +15.4% | 561,510 | 2025 |
The turning points below are taken from the series itself, not from a narrative fitted over it.
Calgary's energy-driven run-up. Values nearly doubled in three years.
The peak gave way with the financial crisis. Values fell for two consecutive years.
A steady climb back that ended just short of a durable new high.
Six years of grinding decline as the energy sector contracted. The longest sustained fall in the series.
Interprovincial migration and low rates drove the fastest sustained rise since the boom.
Values first exceeded the July 2007 peak in July 2014, at $413,000 — but that did not hold. They slipped back below it within two years and stayed there through the oil downturn. The peak was only durably cleared from July 2022, at $450,000 — 15 years after it was set.
That distinction matters for anyone reading a market headline today. A single year above a previous high is not a recovery; it is a touch. Calgary demonstrates the difference across a full decade of records.
July 2010 records a median of $358,500. July 2020 records exactly the same figure. Ten years apart, with a rise and a fall in between that cancelled out entirely.
For context, over the same period the most recent four years produced a +59.6% rise. Calgary's housing market has not moved at a steady rate in any part of this record.
It is the assumption behind almost every story written about this city's housing market. Tested against twenty years of records, it holds far less well than the reputation suggests.
Year to year, the relationship is weak. Across 20 years of overlapping data the correlation between the annual change in the Bank of Canada's energy price index and the annual change in Calgary's median assessed value is r = +0.22, and the two moved in the same direction in only 12 of 20 years. That is close to a coin toss.
| Year to July | Energy price index | Calgary median assessed value |
|---|---|---|
| 2006 | -1.0% | +44.0% |
| 2008 | +35.2% | -5.7% |
| 2011 | +17.3% | -3.8% |
| 2012 | -10.3% | +1.9% |
| 2014 | -1.1% | +10.7% |
| 2018 | +11.9% | -1.9% |
| 2023 | -25.5% | +10.1% |
| 2024 | -1.2% | +15.4% |
The exception is a sustained shock rather than a single year. The energy index fell 48% in the year to July 2015 and stayed depressed. Calgary's median assessed value then declined for six consecutive years, from $413,000 to $358,500. A one-year price swing moves nothing; a structural contraction in the industry moves everything, slowly.
The clearest break is the most recent. Energy prices fell 25% in the year to July 2023 and were roughly flat the year after. Calgary values rose +10.1% and then +15.4%. Whatever is driving the current market, the oil price is not it — which is a meaningful change in how this city's housing should be read.
Free to cite and quote. Attribution appreciated, no link required.
Report: Calgary Housing Market History
Period: July 2004 – July 2024
Underlying source: City of Calgary, Historical Property Assessments
URL: https://www.calgarylistings.com/calgary-housing-market-history/
Suggested attribution:
CalgaryListings Group analysis of City of Calgary property assessment records,
Calgary Housing Market History (July 2004–July 2024).
https://www.calgarylistings.com/calgary-housing-market-history/
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